National Bureau of Economic Research | NBER
WEBFounded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, and business professionals.
Conferences | NBER
WEBConferences The NBER convenes over 120 meetings each year at which researchers share and discuss their latest findings and launch new projects. The Summer Institute, a collection of nearly 50 smaller meetings, is held annually in July.
Research | NBER
WEBResearch The NBER conducts and disseminates independent, cutting-edge, non-partisan research that advances economic knowledge and informs policy makers and the business community.
Business Cycle Dating | NBER
WEBBusiness Cycle Dating. The NBER’s Business Cycle Dating Committee maintains a chronology of US business cycles. The chronology identifies the dates of peaks and troughs that frame economic recessions and expansions. A recession is the period between a peak of economic activity and its subsequent trough, or lowest point.
US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions | NBER
WEBMar 14, 2023 · US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions Contractions (recessions) start at the peak of a business cycle and end at the trough.
Unpacking the Causes of Pandemic-Era Inflation in the US
WEBUnpacking the Causes of Pandemic-Era Inflation in the US. 09/01/2023. Summary of working paper 31417. After several decades of relatively low and stable inflation, in 2021 the US experienced a sharp rise in the pace of price increases.
How the US-China Trade War Affected the Rest of the World
WEBSummary of working paper 29562. Upending a decades-long effort to reduce global trade barriers, China and the United States began mutually escalating tariffs on $450 billion in trade flows in 2018 and 2019. These tariff increases reduced trade between the US and China, but little is known about how trade was affected in the rest of the world.
The Benefits of Rehabilitative Incarceration | NBER
WEBApr 6, 2020 · Among these individuals, imprisonment increases participation in programs directed at improving employability and reducing recidivism, and this ultimately raises employment and earnings while discouraging criminal behavior. The effects of incarceration for this group are large and economically important.
Long-Run Trends and the Natural Rate of Unemployment | NBER
WEBJun 30, 2021 · Long-run trends in the labor market and changes in inflation expectations make it hard to pin down this natural rate of unemployment. Specifically, the dramatic trend decline in unemployment and the concurrent anchoring of inflation expectations since the 1980s have triggered extensive discussions in policy and academic circles. My recent work focuses on using detailed data on labor market ...
WEBexperienced an average decrease of 11.5 hours of work per week and a 21% decrease in weekly earnings, arnings for 52% of the sample, which again re ects s. variation in the e ects of COVID-19 across students. In terms of labor market expectations, on average, students foresee a 13 percentage points decrease in.