For any event that has multiple outcomes with different probabilities, it can be helpful and illustrative to construct a chart or diagram of the possible outcomes. Tree diagrams are a useful example ...

What is a win probability chart? Good question, but for the most part, essentially what it sounds like. In the case of the Buffalo Bills, this graphic from their recent loss to the Kansas City Chiefs ...

With 6:38 remaining in Sunday's game against the New York Giants, the Denver Broncos had a 0.7% chance to overcome a 26-8 deficit. And that's exactly what they did. Broncos second-year quarterback Bo ...

We here at For The Win love win probability charts, which sometime tell the story of a game in one graphic, from the Chiefs-Bills chart in 2022 to the Niners' Super Bowl collapse against Kansas City.

If we convert this spread into a probability of recession twelve months ahead using the probit model described earlier (estimated with Treasury data from January 1959 to December 2005), we can match ...

In the fourth quarter of the Thursday night’s game against the Chiefs, the Chargers had a 93.1% chance at victory. That was according to ESPN’s win probability chart, which naturally noted the Chiefs ...